Texas Commercial Real Estate Forecast | 2024

Texas Commercial Real Estate Forecast for 2024 | Insights and Projections

Inna Radford | 20th May 2024 | 10 minute read

This is an image of an interior industrial space

What Are The Commercial Real Estate Projections In Texas In 2024

The Texas commercial real estate market is set for robust growth in 2024, offering lucrative opportunities for investors. The state’s strong and diverse economy, business-friendly environment, and steady population growth create an ideal landscape for commercial real estate investment. Major cities like Houston, Dallas, and Austin continue to drive economic expansion, further enhancing the attractiveness of Texas as a premier investment destination.

The Texas commercial real estate market in 2024 is poised for significant developments and opportunities across various sectors.

Here’s an in-depth look:

H2

We'll Find Your Commercial Real Estate Today!

Guiding Buyers, Sellers and Tenants Through Commercial Real Estate Deals

Industrial Sector

  • Strong Demand and Inventory Growth:
  •  
  • The industrial sector continues to thrive with a projected inventory growth of 1.5% to 3% statewide.
  •  
  • Despite a slower pace compared to 2023, industrial rents are expected to increase by 2% to 4%​ (Texas Real Estate Research Center)​​ (Collin County Area REALTORS®)​.
  •  
  • Sustained Development:
  •  
  • Texas remains a key player in industrial real estate, with ongoing projects contributing to a robust supply pipeline.

Office Space

  • New Office Space Deliveries:
  •  
  • 2024 will see new office space deliveries surpassing those of 2023.
  •  
  • However, net absorption is projected to turn negative, indicating potential challenges in fully occupying the new spaces​ (OfficeFinder)​​ (KW Agent Sites)​.
  •  
  • Market Adjustments:
  •  
  • Office rents may experience slight increases, with a projected growth of up to 2% by the end of the year. The demand for flexible and hybrid office solutions will likely shape the market dynamics​ (Collin County Area REALTORS®)​​ (KW Agent Sites)​.
  •  

H2

Are You Looking For Commercial Real Estate?

We Help Buyers, Sellers and Tenants Through Commercial Real Estate Deals

Retail Sector

  • Stable Rent Growth:
  •  
  • Retail rents are expected to finish 2024 slightly above December 2023 levels, with growth projected at around 2%​ (OfficeFinder)​​ (KW Agent Sites)​.
  •  
  • Consumer Behavior Impact:
  •  
  • Shifts in consumer behavior and the continued rise of e-commerce will influence the retail landscape, necessitating adaptive strategies for physical retail spaces.
  •  

Residential Market

  • Single-Family Homes:
  •  
  • The market for single-family homes will stabilize, with prices expected to remain flat or dip slightly around $340,000. Housing deliveries will match pre-COVID levels, reflecting a balanced market recovery​ (Collin County Area REALTORS®)​​ (KW Agent Sites)​.
  •  
  • Multifamily Sector:
  •  
  • Effective rent growth in the multifamily sector will average 2.5% for the year, driven by consistent demand for rental housing options​ (Collin County Area REALTORS®)​​ (KW Agent Sites)​.
  •  

Land Market

  • Rural Land Dynamics:
  •  
  • Rural land sales volumes are anticipated to decline, with median land prices peaking in the near term before a gradual decrease. This trend is influenced by high interest rates and economic uncertainties​ (Texas Real Estate Research Center)​​ (Collin County Area REALTORS®)​.
  •  
  • Urban Development:
  •  
  • Legislative changes are expected to impact zoning and property development, potentially easing some regulatory burdens and encouraging development​ (KW Agent Sites)​.
  •  

Economic and Legislative Influences

  • Economic Drivers:
  •  
  • Key macroeconomic drivers such as job growth, income levels, and consumer spending will play crucial roles in shaping the real estate market. Texas’ economic output continues to support real estate investment, maintaining its position as a trendsetter in the U.S. market​ (Texas Real Estate Research Center)​​ (Collin County Area REALTORS®)​.
  •  
  • Legislative Changes:
  •  
  • New regulations and legislative reforms will affect property taxes, zoning, and development processes. Notable changes include increased homestead exemptions and streamlined plat approval processes, which aim to facilitate development and support property owners​ (OfficeFinder)​​ (KW Agent Sites)​.
  •  

Conculsion

  • The Texas commercial real estate market in 2024 is characterized by a mix of growth and stabilization across various sectors.
  •  
  • Ongoing developments and regulatory changes offer both opportunities and challenges for investors and stakeholders.
  •  
  • Overall, our Texas commercial real estate projections present a balanced outlook with substantial opportunities. Investors should stay agile, keeping an eye on market trends and legislative shifts to maximize their returns.
  •